https://ningop.com/tags/%E5%8D%9A%E5%BC%88%E8%AE%BA/Recent content in 博弈论 on NFYHugozhTue, 04 Aug 2026 12:21:40 +0000https://ningop.com/posts/trump-iran-trade-war-logic/Tue, 04 Aug 2026 20:20:00 +0800https://ningop.com/posts/trump-iran-trade-war-logic/川普对伊朗'打又不打'、对贸易战'谈又谈不成'——这不是决策混乱，而是一套精密的系统性拉扯。本文拆解其底层逻辑：威胁溢价、谈判杠杆、消耗战略、内政锁链。